[SS] Stan the Stat loved lists almost as much as he loved numbers. His favorite Go-Go’s song? “Girl of 100 Lists”.1 Slacker. Stan had created that many by the time he was seven years old. So it was no surprise when he proudly unveiled his latest list of numbers, Texas Hold ‘Em Odds from 1 to 52. “One for each card in the deck”, Stan boasted. “Of course, I had several choices for many of the odds, so I tried for variety. By coincidence, the last one stumped me the longest time.”
| A♠ | 1 to 1 | Odds of finishing with a pair on the river with unpaired hole cards | 1.08 to 1 | 48.15% |
| A♥ | 2 to 1 | Odds of improving from 3-of-a-kind to a full house or quads on the turn or river | 1.99 to 1 | 33.40% |
| A♦ | 3 to 1 | Odds of being dealt suited cards | 3.25 to 1 | 23.53% |
| A♣ | 4 to 1 | Odds of hitting a flush draw on the river | 4.11 to 1 | 19.57% |
| K♠ | 5 to 1 | Odds of being dealt connectors | 5.38 to 1 | 15.69% |
| K♥ | 6 to 1 | Odds of being dealt at least one Ace | 5.70 to 1 | 14.93% |
| K♦ | 7 to 1 | Odds of hitting a 3-outer on the turn or river | 7.01 to 1 | 12.49% |
| K♣ | 8 to 1 | Odds of flopping a flush draw with suited cards | 8.14 to 1 | 10.94% |
| Q♠ | 9 to 1 | Odds of flopping an 8-out straight draw from max connectors (JT-54) | 8.57 to 1 | 10.45% |
| Q♥ | 10 to 1 | Odds of being dealt two cards that are Jacks or higher | 10.05 to 1 | 9.05% |
| Q♦ | 11 to 1 | Odds of filling an inside straight draw on the turn | 10.75 to 1 | 8.51% |
| Q♣ | 12 to 1 | Odds of not flopping an overcard with pocket Sevens | 11.73 to 1 | 7.86% |
| J♠ | 13 to 1 | Odds of being dealt 2-gappers | 12.81 to 1 | 7.24% |
| J♥ | 14 to 1 | Odds of hitting a 3-outer on the river | 14.33 to 1 | 6.52% |
| J♦ | 15 to 1 | Odds of completing a flush by the river with suited cards | 14.63 to 1 | 6.40% |
| J♣ | 16 to 1 | Odds of being dealt a pocket pair | 16.00 to 1 | 5.88% |
| 10♠ | 17 to 1 | Odds of being dealt unsuited 2-gappers (e.g., 85o) | 17.42 to 1 | 5.43% |
| 10♥ | 18 to 1 | Odds of a monochromatic flop | 18.32 to 1 | 5.18% |
| 10♦ | 19 to 1 | Odds of beating KK with K2 offsuit (suit dominated, the worst all-in preflop matchup) | 18.69 to 1 | 5.08% |
| 10♣ | 20 to 1 | Odds of being dealt connected cards, 10 or higher | 19.72 to 1 | 4.83% |
| 9♠ | 21 to 1 | Odds of being dealt a pair of Fives or better | 21.10 to 1 | 4.52% |
| 9♥ | 22 to 1 | Odds of hitting a backdoor straight (e.g., from 876) | 21.52 to 1 | 4.44% |
| 9♦ | 23 to 1 | Odds of hitting a backdoor flush | 23.02 to 1 | 4.16% |
| 9♣ | 24 to 1 | Odds of a single opponent with random hole cards having quads on a 3-of-a-kind flop | 24.00 to 1 | 4.00% |
| 8♠ | 25 to 1 | Odds of being dealt any suited connectors | 24.50 to 1 | 3.92% |
| 8♥ | 26 to 1 | Odds of making a straight or better on the turn with random hole cards | 26.15 to 1 | 3.68% |
| 8♦ | 27 to 1 | Odds of making 3-of-a-kind by the turn with random hole cards | 26.81 to 1 | 3.60% |
| 8♣ | 28 to 1 | Odds of a 3-card straight flop | 27.78 to 1 | 3.48% |
| 7♠ | 29 to 1 | Odds of being dealt suited 2-gappers | 29.14 to 1 | 3.32% |
| 7♥ | 30 to 1 | Odds of the board having no overcards by the turn with pocket Sevens | 30.48 to 1 | 3.18% |
| 7♦ | 31 to 1 | Odds of the board having no overcards by the river with pocket Eights | 31.21 to 1 | 3.10% |
| 7♣ | 32 to 1 | Odds of being dealt suited cards Tens or higher | 32.15 to 1 | 3.02% |
| 6♠ | 33 to 1 | Odds of hitting a backdoor half-inside straight (e.g., 976) | 32.78 to 1 | 2.96% |
| 6♥ | 34 to 1 | Odds of hitting a backdoor flush to chop the pot when your opponent flops the worst flush (e.g., holding 32s) | 34.36 to 1 | 2.83% |
| 6♦ | 35 to 1 | Odds of making a full house or better on the river with random hole cards | 34.71 to 1 | 2.80% |
| 6♣ | 36 to 1 | Odds of nobody holding an Ace, King, or Queen at a 6-handed table | 35.94 to 1 | 2.71% |
| 5♠ | 37 to 1 | Odds of flopping an 8-out straight draw from 3-gappers | 37.28 to 1 | 2.61% |
| 5♥ | 38 to 1 | Odds of making a full house on the river with random hole cards | 37.52 to 1 | 2.60% |
| 5♦ | 39 to 1 | Odds of improving a pair to a full house on the turn and river | 39.04 to 1 | 2.50% |
| 5♣ | 40 to 1 | Odds of being dealt a weak suited Ace (A9s-A2s) | 40.44 to 1 | 2.41% |
| 4♠ | 41 to 1 | Odds of hitting a 1-outer on the river when three players are all-in (e.g., QQ vs. KK vs. AA on AKQ2 board) | 41.00 to 1 | 2.38% |
| 4♥ | 42 to 1 | Odds of making exactly Jack high on the turn with random hole cards | 42.28 to 1 | 2.31% |
| 4♦ | 43 to 1 | Odds of being dealt a pair of Tens or better | 43.20 to 1 | 2.26% |
| 4♣ | 44 to 1 | Odds of flopping a four flush holding unsuited cards | 43.55 to 1 | 2.24% |
| 3♠ | 45 to 1 | Odds of hitting an inside straight flush draw on the river | 45.00 to 1 | 2.17% |
| 3♥ | 46 to 1 | Odds of being dealt max stretch suited connectors (JT-54) | 46.36 to 1 | 2.11% |
| 3♦ | 47 to 1 | Odds of hitting a runner-runner 1-gap straight flush or a full house/quads missing three board outs (e.g., 8d8h vs. Ad5d + Jd9d2d [Jh, 9h, 2h mucked]) | 46.83 to 1 | 2.09% |
| 3♣ | 48 to 1 | Odds of flopping two pairs using both unpaired hole cards | 48.49 to 1 | 2.02% |
| 2♠ | 49 to 1 | Odds of at least one player holding 4-of-a-kind or better if 10 players make it to the river | 49.21 to 1 | 1.99% |
| 2♥ | 50 to 1 | Odds of an opponent holding a pair of Aces when you have an Ace at a 9-handed table | 50.04 to 1 | 1.96% |
| 2♦ | 51 to 1 | Odds of making a flush or better by the turn with random hole cards | 51.43 to 1 | 1.91% |
| 2♣ | 52 to 1 | Odds of hitting a runner-runner full house or quads missing one hole out (e.g., 88 vs. A7s vs. + QT2s [8 mucked])2 | 51.56 to 1 | 1.90% |
[SS] “Plenty of Google hits for ’52 to 1′ too.”
[RR] “But they all really meant ‘1 in 52′, or ’51 to 1’?” Roderick the Rock surmised.
[SS] “Exactly right. I almost gave up and changed the list to go from ‘1 in 1’ to ‘1 in 52’, but I hated having the pointless ‘1 in 1’ (‘Odds of there being an error in this list’?). I ended up calculating dozens of runner-runner outs until I found one that worked.”
Footnotes:
- Track three on the Go-Go’s 1982 album Vacation was somehow never released as a single ;-). Jane Wiedlen’s lists included: “things I love”, “what shall I wear”, “who have I kissed”, and “things I must get done today”.
- Added missing 52 to 1 odds on July 7, 2014.
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